Balzac Billy predicts an early spring
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Balzac Billy predicts an early spring

Last Updated Feb 2, 2019 at 11:09 am MDT

Summary

An early spring is predicted for southern Alberta

Balzac Billy didn't see his shadow, signalling an early spring

BALZAC (660 NEWS) – It’s Groundhog Day and Albertans got some good news from their furry weather prognosticator.

Balzac Billy emerged from his den Saturday morning, but did not see his shadow.

According to folklore, it means an early spring.

If he were to have seen his shadow and gone back in, the prediction would be six more weeks of winter.

CityNews and 660 News Meteorologist Andrew Schultz says, as you might imagine, it’s not a very accurate way to predict the weather.

“We have stats on the groundhog, people have done these studies, and some people are saying 36 to 39 per cent accuracy. So, it is less than 50 per cent, but I’d like to submit to you that 36 to 39 per cent on a seasonal forecast isn’t so bad,” says Schultz.

He says we should embrace the groundhog because it gives us something to hang our hopes on during the dead of winter.

Out in Ontario, Wiarton Willie is also predicting an early spring, along with his U.S. cousin Punxsutawney Phil in Pennsylvania.

However, his east coast peer, Shubenacadie Sam, did see his shadow and went right back in his den, meaning six more weeks of winter for Nova Scotia.